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BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 0:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Xakoda · 27 games
59%
Lich
Lichsignature
Xakoda · 26 games
65%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Xakoda · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rain · 16 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
not me · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Shigetsu · 15 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
not me · 14 games
50%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Shigetsu · 11 games
45%

Zero Tenacity

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dEsire · 36 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 31 game
71%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
dEsire · 29 games
48%
Techies
Techiessignature
dEsire · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
nesfeer · 23 games
61%
Bane
Banesignature
MoOz · 22 games
68%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dEsire · 21 game
62%
Rubick
Rubick
dEsire · 20 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
482 picks · 317 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 502 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
317 picks · 387 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
314 picks · 435 bans
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
301 picks · 624 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
290 picks · 106 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
282 picks · 117 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 289 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head3 – 5
Model total50% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:35
Yellow Submarine 50%Zero Tenacity 50%
The model gave 50% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 1:04:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 50%
Series resultZero Tenacity 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1