Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
YNGBLDloss 0:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
LBlabel bmdwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YNGBLD
No games played over 6 months.
label bmd
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
269 picks · 401 bans
Tidehunter
268 picks · 399 bans
Monkey King
261 picks · 637 bans
Bane
242 picks · 178 bans
Lina
219 picks · 481 bans
Weaver
217 picks · 413 bans
Lion
215 picks · 108 bans
Void Spirit
210 picks · 268 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% YNGBLD
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% YNGBLD
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNGBLD · 50%
Series resultlabel bmd 0:1
Series predictionmissed