Winline Insight · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ChillOutloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YNT
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 10 games
Grimstroke
jesv · 9 games
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
Bane
dSa · 7 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
ChillOut
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
479 picks · 660 bans
Tiny
473 picks · 448 bans
Bane
454 picks · 277 bans
Dragon Knight
414 picks · 495 bans
Sand King
414 picks · 566 bans
Storm Spirit
401 picks · 653 bans
Pangolier
368 picks · 574 bans
Grimstroke
349 picks · 297 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 40%
Hero pool strength53% ChillOut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
YNT 62%ChillOut 38%
The model gave 62% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT.
Game 2prediction correct
YNT 62%ChillOut 38%
The model gave 62% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 62%
Series resultYNT 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2