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Winline Insight Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
cybercatsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Sand King
Sand King
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 8 games
38%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 8 games
25%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 7 games
29%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
33%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 6 games
50%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 5 games
60%

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 35 games
51%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 20 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 19 games
63%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 18 games
72%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 17 games
65%
Visage
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 17 games
82%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
75%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
716 picks · 570 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
499 picks · 1024 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
496 picks · 656 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
487 picks · 806 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
370 picks · 428 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
330 picks · 160 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
329 picks · 395 bans
47%
Razor
Razor
302 picks · 580 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 64%
Hero pool strength59% cybercats
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total64% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:24
YNT 36%cybercats 64%
The model gave 64% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 35:40.
Game 2prediction correct25:45
YNT 36%cybercats 64%
The model gave 64% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 43:13.
Game 3prediction correct30:17
YNT 36%cybercats 64%
The model gave 64% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 24:54.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 64%
Series resultYNT 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3