BetBoom Xmas Show · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YNT
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Pucksignature
Malr1ne · 8 games
Lifestealersignature
Kiritych · 7 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Hellscream · 7 games
Pangoliersignature
Corrupted · 7 games
Phoenix
Hellscream · 7 games
Enchantresssignature
so bad · 6 games
Timbersawsignature
Malr1ne · 6 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Kiritych · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
373 picks · 351 bans
Tusk
335 picks · 315 bans
Marci
268 picks · 504 bans
Pangolier
251 picks · 573 bans
Undying
250 picks · 461 bans
Primal Beast
238 picks · 602 bans
Snapfire
220 picks · 127 bans
Shadow Fiend
217 picks · 351 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total69% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:16
YNT 31%Nemiga Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 36:02.
Game 2prediction correct8:22
YNT 31%Nemiga Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 24:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 69%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2