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1x Series · BO3
result vs prediction
YNTwin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Bounty Hunterloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YNT

Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 8 games
38%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 8 games
25%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 7 games
29%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
33%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 6 games
50%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 5 games
60%

No Bounty Hunter

Dazzle
Dazzle
Flash · 7 games
43%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
kAAN · 4 games
100%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Shad · 4 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
kAAN · 3 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Adzantick · 3 games
100%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Flash · 3 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Adzantick · 3 games
33%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shad · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
731 picks · 563 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
523 picks · 1034 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
472 picks · 626 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
435 picks · 779 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
367 picks · 409 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
344 picks · 164 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
326 picks · 379 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
313 picks · 598 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% No Bounty Hunter
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:37
YNT 64%No Bounty Hunter 36%
The model gave 64% on YNT — the game was taken by No Bounty Hunter in 26:31.
Game 2prediction correct
YNT 64%No Bounty Hunter 36%
The model gave 64% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 64%
Series resultYNT 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2