The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yoru Ryodanwin 2:0series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DDDead Denastyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yoru Ryodan
Lion
Ezekiel · 3 games
Clockwerk
Ezekiel · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Grimstroke
Ezekiel · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Iooften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Dead Denasty
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
477 picks · 452 bans
Tiny
462 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 216 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 632 bans
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 440 bans
Ancient Apparition
293 picks · 643 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 212 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 79 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Dead Denasty
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total62% Dead Denasty
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:28
Yoru Ryodan 38%Dead Denasty 62%
The model gave 62% on Dead Denasty — the game was taken by Yoru Ryodan in 41:47.
Game 2prediction missed20:11
Yoru Ryodan 38%Dead Denasty 62%
The model gave 62% on Dead Denasty — the game was taken by Yoru Ryodan in 24:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteDead Denasty · 62%
Series resultYoru Ryodan 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2