Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Южно-Африканская Республикаwin 2:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Мадагаскарloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Южно-Африканская Республика
No games played over 6 months.
Мадагаскар
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
627 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
591 picks · 335 bans
Pangolier
430 picks · 631 bans
Phoenix
417 picks · 476 bans
Tiny
400 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 381 bans
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 494 bans
Puck
320 picks · 966 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Южно-Африканская Республика
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Мадагаскар
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Южно-Африканская Республика 43%Мадагаскар 57%
The model gave 57% on Мадагаскар — the game was taken by Южно-Африканская Республика.
Game 2prediction missed
Южно-Африканская Республика 43%Мадагаскар 57%
The model gave 57% on Мадагаскар — the game was taken by Южно-Африканская Республика.
Model check result
Model favoriteМадагаскар · 57%
Series resultЮжно-Африканская Республика 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2