Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Respectloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Bounty Hunterwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Respect
No games played over 6 months.
No Bounty Hunter
Puckoften banned
ntakii · 3 games
Undyingoften banned
Flash · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
ntakii · 2 games
Earth Spirit
dEsire · 2 games
Lycanoften banned
kAAN · 2 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
dEsire · 2 games
Rubick
Fervian · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
BliNcc · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
87 picks · 202 bans
Mars
84 picks · 177 bans
Earth Spirit
76 picks · 62 bans
Void Spirit
67 picks · 125 bans
Rubick
57 picks · 31 bans
Phoenix
56 picks · 70 bans
Undying
56 picks · 77 bans
Wraith King
53 picks · 55 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 44%
Hero pool strength56% No Bounty Hunter
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% No Bounty Hunter
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:24
Zero Respect 44%No Bounty Hunter 56%
The model gave 56% on No Bounty Hunter — the game was taken by No Bounty Hunter in 30:55.
Game 2prediction correct18:27
Zero Respect 44%No Bounty Hunter 56%
The model gave 56% on No Bounty Hunter — the game was taken by No Bounty Hunter in 29:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Bounty Hunter · 56%
Series resultNo Bounty Hunter 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2