FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DDrago_Kingsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Dark Willow
jAMES · 13 games
Clockwerkoften banned
LeBronDota · 11 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 11 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
MikSa` · 8 games
Sand Kingoften banned
MikSa` · 8 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Stojkov · 8 games
Tuskoften banned
LeBronDota · 8 games
Lion
Thiolicor · 7 games
Drago_Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
491 picks · 673 bans
Clockwerk
415 picks · 489 bans
Pangolier
359 picks · 530 bans
Dark Willow
348 picks · 181 bans
Luna
340 picks · 452 bans
Enchantress
305 picks · 596 bans
Dragon Knight
304 picks · 486 bans
Alchemist
301 picks · 630 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total65% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 65%Drago_Kings 35%
The model gave 65% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 65%Drago_Kings 35%
The model gave 65% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 65%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2