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BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacityloss 0:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
GamerLegionwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dEsire · 36 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 31 game
71%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 29 games
48%
Techies
Techiessignature
dEsire · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
nesfeer · 23 games
61%
Bane
Banesignature
MoOz · 22 games
68%
Rubick
Rubick
dEsire · 21 game
43%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dEsire · 21 game
62%

GamerLegion

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 19 games
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Bignum · 19 games
37%
Kez
Kezoften banned
RCY · 19 games
53%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Speeed · 19 games
74%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
59%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Bignum · 17 games
76%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Speeed · 17 games
35%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 15 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
482 picks · 319 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 505 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
317 picks · 388 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
314 picks · 438 bans
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
301 picks · 626 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
291 picks · 108 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
283 picks · 118 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 289 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:50
Zero Tenacity 36%GamerLegion 64%
The model gave 64% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 32:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 64%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1