?
arrow_backBack to match
EPL Masters I. Play-In · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
dEsire · 36 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 31 game
71%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
MoOz · 29 games
66%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
dEsire · 28 games
50%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Nefrit · 25 games
52%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
MoOz · 24 games
71%
Tiny
Tiny
Kami · 23 games
52%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Worick · 21 game
67%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 20 games
35%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 20 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 18 games
44%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 18 games
39%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 17 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 15 games
53%
Tusk
Tusk
ariel · 15 games
53%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 14 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
534 picks · 381 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
439 picks · 264 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
375 picks · 374 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
337 picks · 636 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
331 picks · 442 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
328 picks · 232 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
302 picks · 241 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
297 picks · 314 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 48%
Hero pool strength56% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head6 – 1
Model total63% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:25
Zero Tenacity 59%Nemiga Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 46:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladenesfeer
51% · 254 games55% · 255 games
Shadow Fiendbyun
Shadow Fiend
Invoker
InvokerWorick
55% · 217 games45% · 140 games
DawnbreakerCovisnine
Dawnbreaker
Undying
UndyingMikSa`
43% · 179 games49% · 251 game
Pangolieryoung G
Pangolier
Bane
BaneMoOz
57% · 320 games48% · 340 games
TuskJANTER
Tusk
Dark Willow
Dark Willowmrls
45% · 226 games52% · 210 games
Ringmasterariel
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction correct40:17
Zero Tenacity 55%Nemiga Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 53:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealernesfeer
54% · 100 games47% · 129 games
Terrorbladebyun
Terrorblade
Largo
LargoMikSa`
54% · 154 games50% · 102 games
Invokeryoung G
Invoker
Pangolier
PangolierWorick
49% · 270 games46% · 171 game
UnderlordCovisnine
Underlord
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightmrls
51% · 118 games50% · 95 games
Lionariel
Lion
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernMoOz
55% · 48 games45% · 193 games
ClockwerkJANTER
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 63%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2