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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Bald Rebornloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Nefrit · 29 games
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
LeBronDota · 27 games
30%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Retsu · 26 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 25 games
28%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Stojkov · 25 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Retsu · 24 games
58%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Nefrit · 24 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Stojkov · 24 games
46%

Team Bald Reborn

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
479 picks · 446 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
468 picks · 537 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
442 picks · 221 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
343 picks · 647 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
305 picks · 450 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
296 picks · 669 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
287 picks · 222 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
281 picks · 84 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:17
Zero Tenacity 63%Team Bald Reborn 37%
The model gave 63% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 48:50.
Game 2prediction missed30:19
Zero Tenacity 63%Team Bald Reborn 37%
The model gave 63% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 31:30.
Game 3prediction correct21:35
Zero Tenacity 63%Team Bald Reborn 37%
The model gave 63% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 41:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 63%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3