Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Zetta Gamesloss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Red Hot Chili Pibblewin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zetta Games
Hoodwink
Pamplona · 2 games
Slardaroften banned
Hermit · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Hermit · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
NeKo · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
Pamplona · 1 game
Kezoften banned
NeKo · 1 game
Necrophosoften banned
NeKo · 1 game
Red Hot Chili Pibble
Bane
Prada · 1 game
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Mnz · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Alone · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
597 picks · 365 bans
Phoenix
488 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
483 picks · 261 bans
Tiny
452 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
402 picks · 550 bans
Puck
337 picks · 908 bans
Beastmaster
333 picks · 841 bans
Tusk
323 picks · 276 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% Zetta Games
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Red Hot Chili Pibble
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
Zetta Games 45%Red Hot Chili Pibble 55%
The model gave 55% on Red Hot Chili Pibble — the game was taken by Red Hot Chili Pibble in 18:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosNeKo
LunaMnz
PangolierHermit
Monkey KingAlone
EnchantressPamplona
HoodwinkMjz
52% · 155 games
SnapfirePrada
Game 2prediction missed3:8
Zetta Games 46%Red Hot Chili Pibble 54%
The model gave 54% on Red Hot Chili Pibble — the game was taken by Zetta Games in 27:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PudgeNeKo
Shadow FiendMnz
SlardarHermit
SnapfireAlone
PhoenixPamplona
TuskMjz
48% · 162 games
DisruptorPrada
Game 3prediction correct29:36
Zetta Games 45%Red Hot Chili Pibble 55%
The model gave 55% on Red Hot Chili Pibble — the game was taken by Red Hot Chili Pibble in 36:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PudgeNeKo
TerrorbladeMnz
SlardarHermit
SnapfireAlone
PhoenixPamplona
RubickMjz
48% · 162 games
DisruptorPrada
Model check result
Model favoriteRed Hot Chili Pibble · 60%
Series resultRed Hot Chili Pibble 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3