DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Zone Academyloss 0:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Advance Esportswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zone Academy
No games played over 6 months.
Advance Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
Rubick
331 picks · 317 bans
Hoodwink
326 picks · 378 bans
Pangolier
326 picks · 459 bans
Snapfire
315 picks · 267 bans
Dragon Knight
290 picks · 448 bans
Enchantress
286 picks · 477 bans
Windranger
284 picks · 404 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Zone Academy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Zone Academy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Zone Academy 52%Advance Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Zone Academy — the game was taken by Advance Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteZone Academy · 52%
Series resultAdvance Esports 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1