Zorka Gaming vs Witch Kings — prediction ЛСDCLS 2 16 · Dota 2

arrow_backBack to match

Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 16 · BO3

result vs prediction

Zorka Gamingwin 2:0

series probability

63%37%

probability at match start · final 2:0

WKWitch Kingsloss 0:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zorka Gaming

Tiny

OneJey · 10 games

50%

Linasignature

Miyaoo · 8 games

63%

Batrideroften banned

Miyaoo · 7 games

29%

Crystal Maiden

Arti_Shock · 7 games

57%

Sven

dizzying · 5 games

80%

Undyingoften banned

klassnokruto · 5 games

80%

Omniknightoften banned

Arti_Shock · 4 games

75%

Primal Beastoften banned

klassnokruto · 4 games

75%

Witch Kings

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Marci

392 picks · 592 bans

55%

Tiny

367 picks · 279 bans

51%

Undying

320 picks · 534 bans

55%

Enigma

247 picks · 760 bans

57%

Death Prophet

244 picks · 367 bans

48%

Pangolier

235 picks · 339 bans

55%

Batrider

217 picks · 744 bans

48%

Snapfire

216 picks · 112 bans

48%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%

Hero pool strength54% Zorka Gaming

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total63% Zorka Gaming

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct39:6

Zorka Gaming 56%Witch Kings 44%

The model gave 56% on Zorka Gaming — the game was taken by Zorka Gaming in 29:31.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo