Parken Challenger Championship Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
100 Thieves#84 in the world · win 2:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Acend#62 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
100 Thieves 47%Acend 53%
The model gave 53% on Acend — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
100 Thieves 53%Acend 47%
The model gave 53% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by Acend.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
100 Thieves 50%Acend 50%
The model gave 50% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Model check result
Model favoriteAcend · 52%
Series result100 Thieves 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3