ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
100 Thieves#37 in the world · win 13:1series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 13:1
Nordic Partners#118 in the world · loss 1:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Anubispossible decider
50%47%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsnearly even +3%Nordic Partners · 11 maps
Dust2Nordic Partners ban
71%29%
100 Thieves · 10 mapsedge 100 Thieves +42%Nordic Partners · 3 maps
Mirage100 Thieves ban
67%56%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsedge 100 Thieves +11%Nordic Partners · 5 maps
AncientNordic Partners ban
50%33%
100 Thieves · 10 mapsedge 100 Thieves +17%Nordic Partners · 2 maps
Nuke100 Thieves ban
46%57%
100 Thieves · 9 mapsedge Nordic Partners +11%Nordic Partners · 3 maps
InfernoNordic Partners ban
58%29%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsedge 100 Thieves +29%Nordic Partners · 3 maps
Cache100 Thieves ban
60%30%
100 Thieves · 1 mapedge 100 Thieves +30%Nordic Partners · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban100 Thieves remove Cache
2. BanNordic Partners remove Dust2
3. Ban100 Thieves remove Nuke
4. BanNordic Partners remove Ancient
5. Ban100 Thieves remove Mirage
6. BanNordic Partners remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (50% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:1
100 Thieves 39%Nordic Partners 61%
The model gave 61% on Nordic Partners — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Model check result
Model favorite100 Thieves · 80%
Series result100 Thieves 13:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1