CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
100 Thieves#37 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Phantom#88 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragePhantom ban
50%44%
100 Thieves · 6 mapsedge 100 Thieves +6%Phantom · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%54%
100 Thieves · 6 mapsnearly even -4%Phantom · 9 maps
Ancient100 Thieves pick
58%50%
100 Thieves · 8 mapsedge 100 Thieves +8%Phantom · 6 maps
Dust2Phantom pick
71%69%
100 Thieves · 3 mapsnearly even +2%Phantom · 9 maps
InfernoPhantom ban
55%50%
100 Thieves · 7 mapsedge 100 Thieves +5%Phantom · 0 maps
Overpass100 Thieves ban
60%60%
100 Thieves · 1 mapnearly even +0%Phantom · 6 maps
Anubis100 Thieves ban
60%50%
100 Thieves · 1 mapedge 100 Thieves +10%Phantom · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban100 Thieves remove Anubis
2. BanPhantom remove Inferno
3. Pick100 Thieves take Ancient
4. PickPhantom take Dust2
5. BanPhantom remove Mirage
6. Ban100 Thieves remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (50% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
100 Thieves 61%Phantom 39%
The model gave 61% on 100 Thieves — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
100 Thieves 50%Phantom 50%
The model gave 50% on Phantom — the map was taken by 100 Thieves.
Model check result
Model favorite100 Thieves · 62%
Series result100 Thieves 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2