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NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Phantom#87 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Phantom pick
72%58%
INOX Division · 21 mapedge INOX Division +14%Phantom · 15 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
65%59%
INOX Division · 22 mapsedge INOX Division +6%Phantom · 13 maps
AncientPhantom ban
63%50%
INOX Division · 12 mapsedge INOX Division +13%Phantom · 12 maps
Overpasspossible decider
56%67%
INOX Division · 12 mapsedge Phantom +11%Phantom · 8 maps
InfernoPhantom ban
57%50%
INOX Division · 17 mapsedge INOX Division +7%Phantom · 0 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%44%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +6%Phantom · 14 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
36%67%
INOX Division · 7 mapsedge Phantom +31%Phantom · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanPhantom remove Inferno
3. PickINOX Division take Nuke
4. PickPhantom take Dust2
5. BanPhantom remove Ancient
6. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
DeciderOverpass (56% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
INOX Division 60%Phantom 40%
The model gave 60% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Infernoprediction missed3:13
INOX Division 60%Phantom 40%
The model gave 60% on INOX Division — the map was taken by Phantom.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
INOX Division 57%Phantom 43%
The model gave 57% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 52%
Series resultINOX Division 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3