CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Saint Sinners ban
50%44%
Saint Sinners · 0 mapsedge Saint Sinners +6%Spirit Academy · 12 maps
AncientSaint Sinners ban
50%83%
Saint Sinners · 0 mapsedge Spirit Academy +33%Spirit Academy · 8 maps
NukeSaint Sinners pick
50%30%
Saint Sinners · 0 mapsedge Saint Sinners +20%Spirit Academy · 6 maps
CacheSpirit Academy ban
50%44%
Saint Sinners · 0 mapsedge Saint Sinners +6%Spirit Academy · 5 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy pick
50%71%
Saint Sinners · 0 mapsedge Spirit Academy +21%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
50%43%
Saint Sinners · 0 mapsedge Saint Sinners +7%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSaint Sinners remove Ancient
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
3. PickSaint Sinners take Nuke
4. PickSpirit Academy take Anubis
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Cache
6. BanSaint Sinners remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed14:16
Saint Sinners 72%Spirit Academy 28%
The model gave 72% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Cacheprediction missed4:13
Saint Sinners 53%Spirit Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 68%
Series resultSpirit Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2