CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Permitta#102 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
38%58%
Mai Tai · 17 mapsedge Permitta +20%Permitta · 8 maps
AncientPermitta ban
46%36%
Mai Tai · 9 mapsedge Mai Tai +10%Permitta · 10 maps
Defaultpossible decider
38%33%
Mai Tai · 17 mapsedge Mai Tai +5%Permitta · 2 maps
NukePermitta pick
36%44%
Mai Tai · 7 mapsedge Permitta +8%Permitta · 12 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
30%67%
Mai Tai · 6 mapsedge Permitta +37%Permitta · 5 maps
CacheMai Tai ban
44%70%
Mai Tai · 5 mapsedge Permitta +26%Permitta · 6 maps
Dust2Permitta ban
36%25%
Mai Tai · 7 mapsedge Mai Tai +11%Permitta · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
2. BanPermitta remove Dust2
3. PickMai Tai take Mirage
4. PickPermitta take Nuke
5. BanPermitta remove Ancient
6. BanMai Tai remove Cache
DeciderDefault (38% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct8:13
Mai Tai 33%Permitta 67%
The model gave 67% on Permitta — the map was taken by Permitta.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
Mai Tai 39%Permitta 61%
The model gave 61% on Permitta — the map was taken by Permitta.
Model check result
Model favoritePermitta · 57%
Series resultPermitta 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2