CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Permitta#102 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePermitta pick
36%47%
Spirit Academy · 7 mapsedge Permitta +11%Permitta · 13 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
83%36%
Spirit Academy · 8 mapsedge Spirit Academy +47%Permitta · 10 maps
Dust2Permitta ban
44%25%
Spirit Academy · 12 mapsedge Spirit Academy +19%Permitta · 4 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%70%
Spirit Academy · 6 mapsedge Permitta +20%Permitta · 6 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
43%62%
Spirit Academy · 3 mapsedge Permitta +19%Permitta · 9 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy ban
71%67%
Spirit Academy · 3 mapsnearly even +4%Permitta · 5 maps
DefaultPermitta ban
50%29%
Spirit Academy · 0 mapsedge Spirit Academy +21%Permitta · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
2. BanPermitta remove Dust2
3. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
4. PickPermitta take Nuke
5. BanPermitta remove Default
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Anubis
DeciderCache (50% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
Spirit Academy 36%Permitta 64%
The model gave 64% on Permitta — the map was taken by Permitta.
Ancientprediction missed3:13
Spirit Academy 91%Permitta 9%
The model gave 91% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Permitta.
Model check result
Model favoritePermitta · 52%
Series resultPermitta 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2