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CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Falcons Force#152 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
NAVI Junior#127 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNAVI Junior pick
55%64%
Falcons Force · 7 mapsedge NAVI Junior +9%NAVI Junior · 10 maps
AnubisNAVI Junior ban
63%46%
Falcons Force · 4 mapsedge Falcons Force +17%NAVI Junior · 9 maps
NukeFalcons Force ban
40%40%
Falcons Force · 6 mapsnearly even +0%NAVI Junior · 6 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
33%38%
Falcons Force · 2 mapsedge NAVI Junior +5%NAVI Junior · 9 maps
InfernoFalcons Force pick
58%33%
Falcons Force · 8 mapsedge Falcons Force +25%NAVI Junior · 2 maps
Ancientpossible decider
57%40%
Falcons Force · 3 mapsedge Falcons Force +17%NAVI Junior · 6 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
70%40%
Falcons Force · 6 mapsedge Falcons Force +30%NAVI Junior · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
2. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
3. PickFalcons Force take Inferno
4. PickNAVI Junior take Mirage
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Anubis
6. BanFalcons Force remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (57% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:16
Falcons Force 37%NAVI Junior 63%
The model gave 63% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Cacheprediction correct13:6
Falcons Force 80%NAVI Junior 20%
The model gave 80% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Nukeprediction missed14:16
Falcons Force 50%NAVI Junior 50%
The model gave 50% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons Force · 53%
Series resultNAVI Junior 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3