CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Permitta#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePermitta pick
47%57%
Permitta · 15 mapsedge Bebop +10%Bebop · 10 maps
MiragePermitta ban
57%19%
Permitta · 10 mapsedge Permitta +38%Bebop · 12 maps
Dust2Permitta ban
25%55%
Permitta · 4 mapsedge Bebop +30%Bebop · 16 maps
AnubisBebop ban
55%40%
Permitta · 7 mapsedge Permitta +15%Bebop · 6 maps
AncientBebop ban
40%50%
Permitta · 11 mapsedge Bebop +10%Bebop · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
70%44%
Permitta · 6 mapsedge Permitta +26%Bebop · 5 maps
DefaultBebop pick
38%50%
Permitta · 4 mapsedge Bebop +12%Bebop · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPermitta remove Dust2
2. BanBebop remove Ancient
3. PickPermitta take Nuke
4. PickBebop take Default
5. BanBebop remove Anubis
6. BanPermitta remove Mirage
DeciderCache (70% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:4
Permitta 43%Bebop 57%
The model gave 57% on Bebop — the map was taken by Permitta.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
Permitta 19%Bebop 81%
The model gave 81% on Bebop — the map was taken by Permitta.
Model check result
Model favoritePermitta · 61%
Series resultPermitta 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2