CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:1series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
46%76%
Leo · 20 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +30%Bushido Wildcats · 38 maps
NukeLeo pick
85%54%
Leo · 16 mapsedge Leo +31%Bushido Wildcats · 24 maps
MirageLeo ban
40%55%
Leo · 6 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +15%Bushido Wildcats · 29 maps
AnubisBushido Wildcats ban
36%50%
Leo · 10 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +14%Bushido Wildcats · 12 maps
Cachepossible decider
33%63%
Leo · 5 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +30%Bushido Wildcats · 12 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
42%40%
Leo · 15 mapsnearly even +2%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
InfernoLeo ban
50%38%
Leo · 0 mapsedge Leo +12%Bushido Wildcats · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Inferno
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. PickLeo take Nuke
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Anubis
6. BanLeo remove Mirage
DeciderCache (33% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct14:16
Leo 19%Bushido Wildcats 81%
The model gave 81% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Leo 85%Bushido Wildcats 15%
The model gave 85% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Cacheprediction missed13:11
Leo 23%Bushido Wildcats 77%
The model gave 77% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 61%
Series resultLeo 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3