CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NAVI Junior#127 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Leo ban
42%41%
Leo · 20 mapsnearly even +1%NAVI Junior · 13 maps
NukeLeo pick
85%38%
Leo · 16 mapsedge Leo +47%NAVI Junior · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
44%36%
Leo · 14 mapsedge Leo +8%NAVI Junior · 7 maps
MirageLeo ban
36%72%
Leo · 7 mapsedge NAVI Junior +36%NAVI Junior · 14 maps
AnubisNAVI Junior ban
38%46%
Leo · 9 mapsedge NAVI Junior +8%NAVI Junior · 9 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
45%33%
Leo · 7 mapsedge Leo +12%NAVI Junior · 2 maps
DefaultNAVI Junior pick
25%67%
Leo · 4 mapsedge NAVI Junior +42%NAVI Junior · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLeo remove Mirage
2. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
3. PickLeo take Nuke
4. PickNAVI Junior take Default
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Anubis
6. BanLeo remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (44% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
Leo 91%NAVI Junior 9%
The model gave 91% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
Leo 16%NAVI Junior 84%
The model gave 84% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Leo 51%NAVI Junior 49%
The model gave 51% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteNAVI Junior · 52%
Series resultLeo 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3