CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
QUAZAR#94 in the world · win 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
G2 Ares#130 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
65%46%
QUAZAR · 13 mapsedge QUAZAR +19%G2 Ares · 22 maps
Dust2QUAZAR ban
50%42%
QUAZAR · 12 mapsedge QUAZAR +8%G2 Ares · 20 maps
InfernoG2 Ares pick
60%59%
QUAZAR · 6 mapsnearly even +1%G2 Ares · 25 maps
CacheQUAZAR pick
60%31%
QUAZAR · 11 mapsedge QUAZAR +29%G2 Ares · 9 maps
AnubisG2 Ares ban
60%50%
QUAZAR · 11 mapsedge QUAZAR +10%G2 Ares · 6 maps
AncientQUAZAR ban
50%50%
QUAZAR · 0 mapsnearly even +0%G2 Ares · 14 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
57%50%
QUAZAR · 10 mapsedge QUAZAR +7%G2 Ares · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQUAZAR remove Ancient
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickQUAZAR take Cache
4. PickG2 Ares take Inferno
5. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
6. BanQUAZAR remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (65% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
QUAZAR 48%G2 Ares 52%
The model gave 52% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Cacheprediction correct13:6
QUAZAR 79%G2 Ares 21%
The model gave 79% on QUAZAR — the map was taken by QUAZAR.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
QUAZAR 68%G2 Ares 32%
The model gave 68% on QUAZAR — the map was taken by QUAZAR.
Model check result
Model favoriteQUAZAR · 50%
Series resultQUAZAR 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3