CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Azuolas#191 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageSpirit Academy ban
43%45%
Azuolas · 10 mapsnearly even -2%Spirit Academy · 7 maps
NukeAzuolas pick
58%33%
Azuolas · 8 mapsedge Azuolas +25%Spirit Academy · 8 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
50%73%
Azuolas · 4 mapsedge Spirit Academy +23%Spirit Academy · 11 maps
Dust2Azuolas ban
33%50%
Azuolas · 2 mapsedge Spirit Academy +17%Spirit Academy · 12 maps
Cachepossible decider
60%54%
Azuolas · 1 mapedge Azuolas +6%Spirit Academy · 9 maps
AnubisAzuolas ban
50%71%
Azuolas · 2 mapsedge Spirit Academy +21%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
29%50%
Azuolas · 3 mapsedge Spirit Academy +21%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAzuolas remove Anubis
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
3. PickAzuolas take Nuke
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
6. BanAzuolas remove Dust2
DeciderCache (60% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed12:16
Azuolas 76%Spirit Academy 24%
The model gave 76% on Azuolas — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Azuolas 31%Spirit Academy 69%
The model gave 69% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 52%
Series resultSpirit Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2