CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNAVI Junior pick
36%74%
Lavked · 18 mapsedge NAVI Junior +38%NAVI Junior · 15 maps
Dust2NAVI Junior ban
59%39%
Lavked · 18 mapsedge Lavked +20%NAVI Junior · 14 maps
NukeLavked pick
47%38%
Lavked · 15 mapsedge Lavked +9%NAVI Junior · 9 maps
AncientLavked ban
35%36%
Lavked · 16 mapsnearly even -1%NAVI Junior · 7 maps
AnubisNAVI Junior ban
50%50%
Lavked · 8 mapsnearly even +0%NAVI Junior · 8 maps
InfernoLavked ban
36%33%
Lavked · 7 mapsnearly even +3%NAVI Junior · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
38%57%
Lavked · 4 mapsedge NAVI Junior +19%NAVI Junior · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Inferno
2. BanNAVI Junior remove Dust2
3. PickLavked take Nuke
4. PickNAVI Junior take Mirage
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Anubis
6. BanLavked remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (38% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
Lavked 72%NAVI Junior 28%
The model gave 72% on Lavked — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
Lavked 15%NAVI Junior 85%
The model gave 85% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteNAVI Junior · 52%
Series resultNAVI Junior 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2