CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
50%58%
Iberian Soul · 0 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +8%ex-RUSTEC · 39 maps
Nukepossible decider
67%52%
Iberian Soul · 5 mapsedge Iberian Soul +15%ex-RUSTEC · 29 maps
Anubisex-RUSTEC pick
57%67%
Iberian Soul · 3 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +10%ex-RUSTEC · 23 maps
InfernoIberian Soul pick
62%44%
Iberian Soul · 9 mapsedge Iberian Soul +18%ex-RUSTEC · 14 maps
Mirageex-RUSTEC ban
50%48%
Iberian Soul · 6 mapsnearly even +2%ex-RUSTEC · 17 maps
CacheIberian Soul ban
27%47%
Iberian Soul · 7 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +20%ex-RUSTEC · 13 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
53%67%
Iberian Soul · 11 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +14%ex-RUSTEC · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickIberian Soul take Inferno
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Anubis
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Mirage
6. BanIberian Soul remove Cache
DeciderNuke (67% / 52%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
Iberian Soul 39%ex-RUSTEC 61%
The model gave 61% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Mirageprediction correct4:13
Iberian Soul 49%ex-RUSTEC 51%
The model gave 51% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteIberian Soul · 53%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2