kleverr Azeron Baltic Superfinals 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aimhaus#381 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Aimhaus pick
50%50%
FERAX · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Aimhaus · 4 maps
MirageFERAX pick
60%40%
FERAX · 1 mapedge FERAX +20%Aimhaus · 1 map
NukeAimhaus ban
40%40%
FERAX · 1 mapnearly even +0%Aimhaus · 1 map
CacheAimhaus ban
60%50%
FERAX · 1 mapedge FERAX +10%Aimhaus · 0 maps
InfernoFERAX ban
50%60%
FERAX · 0 mapsedge Aimhaus +10%Aimhaus · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFERAX remove Inferno
2. BanAimhaus remove Nuke
3. PickFERAX take Mirage
4. PickAimhaus take Dust2
5. BanAimhaus remove Cache
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed4:13
FERAX 53%Aimhaus 47%
The model gave 53% on FERAX — the map was taken by Aimhaus.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
FERAX 47%Aimhaus 53%
The model gave 53% on Aimhaus — the map was taken by Aimhaus.
Model check result
Model favoriteFERAX · 50%
Series resultAimhaus 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2