CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Privateer#226 in the world · win 2:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ROUNDS#231 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePrivateer pick
44%38%
Privateer · 5 mapsedge Privateer +6%ROUNDS · 4 maps
AncientPrivateer ban
57%50%
Privateer · 3 mapsedge Privateer +7%ROUNDS · 4 maps
MirageROUNDS ban
50%33%
Privateer · 2 mapsedge Privateer +17%ROUNDS · 5 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%56%
Privateer · 1 mapnearly even +4%ROUNDS · 5 maps
Dust2ROUNDS ban
43%33%
Privateer · 3 mapsedge Privateer +10%ROUNDS · 2 maps
DefaultROUNDS pick
50%71%
Privateer · 0 mapsedge ROUNDS +21%ROUNDS · 3 maps
CachePrivateer ban
40%40%
Privateer · 1 mapnearly even +0%ROUNDS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPrivateer remove Cache
2. BanROUNDS remove Dust2
3. PickPrivateer take Nuke
4. PickROUNDS take Default
5. BanROUNDS remove Mirage
6. BanPrivateer remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (60% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
Privateer 60%ROUNDS 40%
The model gave 60% on Privateer — the map was taken by ROUNDS.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
Privateer 52%ROUNDS 48%
The model gave 52% on Privateer — the map was taken by Privateer.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
Privateer 57%ROUNDS 43%
The model gave 57% on Privateer — the map was taken by Privateer.
Model check result
Model favoritePrivateer · 58%
Series resultPrivateer 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3