BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
paiN#29 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeNinjas in Pyjamas pick
78%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 14 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +28%paiN · 12 maps
AncientpaiN ban
50%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 14 mapsnearly even +0%paiN · 0 maps
AnubispaiN pick
44%56%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsedge paiN +12%paiN · 5 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
33%58%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 2 mapsedge paiN +25%paiN · 8 maps
InfernopaiN ban
56%56%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsnearly even +0%paiN · 5 maps
MirageNinjas in Pyjamas ban
50%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 8 mapsnearly even +0%paiN · 2 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 0 mapsnearly even +0%paiN · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
2. BanpaiN remove Ancient
3. PickNinjas in Pyjamas take Nuke
4. PickpaiN take Anubis
5. BanpaiN remove Inferno
6. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Mirage
DeciderOverpass (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed6:13
Ninjas in Pyjamas 80%paiN 20%
The model gave 80% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by paiN.
Mirageprediction correct14:16
Ninjas in Pyjamas 47%paiN 53%
The model gave 53% on paiN — the map was taken by paiN.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN · 53%
Series resultpaiN 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2