CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · win 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2UNO MILLE pick
61%65%
LP · 14 mapsnearly even -4%UNO MILLE · 16 maps
InfernoLP pick
65%57%
LP · 19 mapsedge LP +8%UNO MILLE · 10 maps
Nukepossible decider
67%62%
LP · 11 mapsedge LP +5%UNO MILLE · 9 maps
AncientUNO MILLE ban
59%60%
LP · 13 mapsnearly even -1%UNO MILLE · 6 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
47%44%
LP · 11 mapsnearly even +3%UNO MILLE · 5 maps
OverpassLP ban
44%58%
LP · 5 mapsedge UNO MILLE +14%UNO MILLE · 8 maps
AnubisLP ban
50%64%
LP · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +14%UNO MILLE · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Anubis
2. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
3. PickLP take Inferno
4. PickUNO MILLE take Dust2
5. BanUNO MILLE remove Ancient
6. BanLP remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (67% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
LP 52%UNO MILLE 48%
The model gave 52% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Cacheprediction missed13:5
LP 47%UNO MILLE 53%
The model gave 53% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 81%
Series resultLP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2