?
CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
BORRACHEIROS#179 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
ODDIK#140 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ODDIK pick
60%60%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapnearly even +0%ODDIK · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%60%
BORRACHEIROS · 3 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +11%ODDIK · 1 map
AncientODDIK ban
60%33%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapedge BORRACHEIROS +27%ODDIK · 2 maps
AnubisBORRACHEIROS ban
50%57%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsedge ODDIK +7%ODDIK · 3 maps
MirageBORRACHEIROS pick
60%67%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapedge ODDIK +7%ODDIK · 2 maps
NukeODDIK ban
40%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 1 mapedge ODDIK +10%ODDIK · 2 maps
CacheBORRACHEIROS ban
50%50%
BORRACHEIROS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ODDIK · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Cache
2. BanODDIK remove Ancient
3. PickBORRACHEIROS take Mirage
4. PickODDIK take Dust2
5. BanODDIK remove Nuke
6. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (71% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
BORRACHEIROS 77%ODDIK 23%
The model gave 77% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by ODDIK.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
BORRACHEIROS 47%ODDIK 53%
The model gave 53% on ODDIK — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
BORRACHEIROS 43%ODDIK 57%
The model gave 57% on ODDIK — the map was taken by ODDIK.
Model check result
Model favoriteODDIK · 54%
Series resultODDIK 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3