Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
los kogutos#123 in the world · win 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NEW VISION#204 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientlos kogutos pick
57%44%
los kogutos · 3 mapsedge los kogutos +13%NEW VISION · 12 maps
AnubisNEW VISION pick
40%43%
los kogutos · 1 mapnearly even -3%NEW VISION · 10 maps
Dust2NEW VISION ban
29%45%
los kogutos · 3 mapsedge NEW VISION +16%NEW VISION · 7 maps
Miragelos kogutos ban
43%33%
los kogutos · 3 mapsedge los kogutos +10%NEW VISION · 5 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%44%
los kogutos · 2 mapsedge los kogutos +6%NEW VISION · 5 maps
Infernolos kogutos ban
50%44%
los kogutos · 0 mapsedge los kogutos +6%NEW VISION · 5 maps
CacheNEW VISION ban
33%50%
los kogutos · 2 mapsedge NEW VISION +17%NEW VISION · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banlos kogutos remove Inferno
2. BanNEW VISION remove Dust2
3. Picklos kogutos take Ancient
4. PickNEW VISION take Anubis
5. BanNEW VISION remove Cache
6. Banlos kogutos remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (50% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
los kogutos 58%NEW VISION 42%
The model gave 58% on los kogutos — the map was taken by los kogutos.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
los kogutos 60%NEW VISION 40%
The model gave 60% on los kogutos — the map was taken by los kogutos.
Model check result
Model favoritelos kogutos · 55%
Series resultlos kogutos 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2