BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Liquid#27 in the world · win 2:0series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2#7 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
25%38%
Liquid · 4 mapsedge G2 +13%G2 · 12 maps
MirageG2 pick
33%60%
Liquid · 2 mapsedge G2 +27%G2 · 11 maps
AncientLiquid ban
50%54%
Liquid · 2 mapsnearly even -4%G2 · 9 maps
InfernoLiquid pick
57%60%
Liquid · 3 mapsnearly even -3%G2 · 6 maps
OverpassLiquid ban
50%73%
Liquid · 0 mapsedge G2 +23%G2 · 7 maps
AnubisG2 ban
50%29%
Liquid · 2 mapsedge Liquid +21%G2 · 3 maps
NukeG2 ban
63%50%
Liquid · 4 mapsedge Liquid +13%G2 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLiquid remove Overpass
2. BanG2 remove Nuke
3. PickLiquid take Inferno
4. PickG2 take Mirage
5. BanG2 remove Anubis
6. BanLiquid remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (25% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:6
Liquid 74%G2 26%
The model gave 74% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
Liquid 23%G2 77%
The model gave 77% on G2 — the map was taken by Liquid.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 · 77%
Series resultLiquid 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2