StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
HOTU#41 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
INFINITE#71 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HOTU pick
63%60%
HOTU · 15 mapsnearly even +3%INFINITE · 6 maps
AncientHOTU ban
64%54%
HOTU · 10 mapsedge HOTU +10%INFINITE · 9 maps
MirageINFINITE pick
57%58%
HOTU · 3 mapsnearly even -1%INFINITE · 15 maps
NukeINFINITE ban
73%50%
HOTU · 7 mapsedge HOTU +23%INFINITE · 10 maps
Cachepossible decider
67%50%
HOTU · 5 mapsedge HOTU +17%INFINITE · 0 maps
InfernoHOTU ban
50%56%
HOTU · 0 mapsedge INFINITE +6%INFINITE · 5 maps
OverpassINFINITE ban
29%40%
HOTU · 3 mapsedge INFINITE +11%INFINITE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHOTU remove Inferno
2. BanINFINITE remove Overpass
3. PickHOTU take Dust2
4. PickINFINITE take Mirage
5. BanINFINITE remove Nuke
6. BanHOTU remove Ancient
DeciderCache (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
HOTU 46%INFINITE 54%
The model gave 54% on INFINITE — the map was taken by HOTU.
Anubisprediction correct13:5
HOTU 53%INFINITE 47%
The model gave 53% on HOTU — the map was taken by HOTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHOTU · 57%
Series resultHOTU 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2