StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
60%53%
Echo · 6 mapsedge Echo +7%Nuclear TigeRES · 13 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
57%74%
Echo · 3 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +17%Nuclear TigeRES · 15 maps
NukeEcho pick
70%50%
Echo · 6 mapsedge Echo +20%Nuclear TigeRES · 12 maps
Dust2Echo ban
50%53%
Echo · 0 mapsnearly even -3%Nuclear TigeRES · 13 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
50%55%
Echo · 4 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +5%Nuclear TigeRES · 7 maps
OverpassNuclear TigeRES ban
40%50%
Echo · 6 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +10%Nuclear TigeRES · 0 maps
InfernoEcho ban
33%71%
Echo · 2 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +38%Nuclear TigeRES · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEcho remove Dust2
2. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Overpass
3. PickEcho take Nuke
4. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
5. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
6. BanEcho remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (60% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:8
Echo 30%Nuclear TigeRES 70%
The model gave 70% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Echo.
Nukeprediction correct16:14
Echo 72%Nuclear TigeRES 28%
The model gave 72% on Echo — the map was taken by Echo.
Model check result
Model favoriteEcho · 61%
Series resultEcho 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2