MESA Pro Series Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
5star#35 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Chinggis Warriors#116 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Infernopossible decider
60%50%
5star · 6 mapsedge 5star +10%Chinggis Warriors · 6 maps
AncientChinggis Warriors pick
40%57%
5star · 6 mapsedge Chinggis Warriors +17%Chinggis Warriors · 3 maps
Nuke5star pick
67%50%
5star · 2 mapsedge 5star +17%Chinggis Warriors · 6 maps
Dust25star ban
43%43%
5star · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Chinggis Warriors · 3 maps
AnubisChinggis Warriors ban
50%50%
5star · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Chinggis Warriors · 0 maps
OverpassChinggis Warriors ban
33%33%
5star · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Chinggis Warriors · 2 maps
Mirage5star ban
60%33%
5star · 1 mapedge 5star +27%Chinggis Warriors · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban5star remove Dust2
2. BanChinggis Warriors remove Anubis
3. Pick5star take Nuke
4. PickChinggis Warriors take Ancient
5. BanChinggis Warriors remove Overpass
6. Ban5star remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct16:13
5star 53%Chinggis Warriors 47%
The model gave 53% on 5star — the map was taken by 5star.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
5star 64%Chinggis Warriors 36%
The model gave 64% on 5star — the map was taken by 5star.
Model check result
Model favorite5star · 57%
Series result5star 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2