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CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ex-RUSTEC#79 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
71%57%
INOX Division · 20 mapsedge INOX Division +14%ex-RUSTEC · 3 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
64%50%
INOX Division · 21 mapedge INOX Division +14%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
57%40%
INOX Division · 17 mapsedge INOX Division +17%ex-RUSTEC · 1 map
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
63%50%
INOX Division · 12 mapsedge INOX Division +13%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
OverpassINOX Division ban
56%50%
INOX Division · 12 mapsedge INOX Division +6%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
36%40%
INOX Division · 7 mapsnearly even -4%ex-RUSTEC · 1 map
Defaultex-RUSTEC ban
57%50%
INOX Division · 3 mapsedge INOX Division +7%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickINOX Division take Nuke
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Default
6. BanINOX Division remove Overpass
DeciderInferno (57% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
INOX Division 57%ex-RUSTEC 43%
The model gave 57% on INOX Division — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Nukeprediction correct16:13
INOX Division 67%ex-RUSTEC 33%
The model gave 67% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
INOX Division 65%ex-RUSTEC 35%
The model gave 65% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 67%
Series resultINOX Division 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3