Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · loss 9:13series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 9:13
B8#15 in the world · win 13:9The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
59%63%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 13 mapsnearly even -4%B8 · 12 maps
MirageB8 ban
41%43%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 13 mapsnearly even -2%B8 · 10 maps
NukeB8 ban
68%67%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 15 mapsnearly even +1%B8 · 2 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
38%64%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 4 mapsedge B8 +26%B8 · 10 maps
InfernoNinjas in Pyjamas ban
55%56%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 7 mapsnearly even -1%B8 · 5 maps
CacheNinjas in Pyjamas ban
20%63%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 6 mapsedge B8 +43%B8 · 4 maps
AnubisB8 ban
44%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsedge B8 +6%B8 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
2. BanB8 remove Anubis
3. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Cache
4. BanB8 remove Nuke
5. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Inferno
6. BanB8 remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (59% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
Ninjas in Pyjamas 46%B8 54%
The model gave 54% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 71%
Series resultB8 9:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1