Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Luminosity#30 in the world · win 13:11series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 13:11
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · loss 11:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
56%70%
Luminosity · 5 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +14%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 16 maps
AncientNinjas in Pyjamas ban
43%56%
Luminosity · 3 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +13%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 14 maps
MirageLuminosity ban
57%41%
Luminosity · 3 mapsedge Luminosity +16%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 13 maps
InfernoLuminosity ban
33%55%
Luminosity · 5 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +22%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 7 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
40%33%
Luminosity · 6 mapsedge Luminosity +7%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 maps
CacheLuminosity ban
40%20%
Luminosity · 1 mapedge Luminosity +20%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 6 maps
AnubisNinjas in Pyjamas ban
50%44%
Luminosity · 0 mapsedge Luminosity +6%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLuminosity remove Cache
2. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
3. BanLuminosity remove Inferno
4. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Anubis
5. BanLuminosity remove Mirage
6. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (56% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
Luminosity 38%Ninjas in Pyjamas 62%
The model gave 63% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by Luminosity.
Model check result
Model favoriteNinjas in Pyjamas · 64%
Series resultLuminosity 13:11
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1