Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Luminosity#30 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BBL#49 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBBL pick
56%58%
Luminosity · 5 mapsnearly even -2%BBL · 8 maps
InfernoLuminosity ban
33%56%
Luminosity · 5 mapsedge BBL +23%BBL · 5 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%50%
Luminosity · 4 mapsnearly even +0%BBL · 4 maps
Dust2BBL ban
40%50%
Luminosity · 6 mapsedge BBL +10%BBL · 0 maps
CacheLuminosity ban
40%38%
Luminosity · 1 mapnearly even +2%BBL · 4 maps
MirageLuminosity pick
57%50%
Luminosity · 3 mapsedge Luminosity +7%BBL · 2 maps
AnubisBBL ban
50%40%
Luminosity · 0 mapsedge Luminosity +10%BBL · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLuminosity remove Cache
2. BanBBL remove Dust2
3. PickLuminosity take Mirage
4. PickBBL take Nuke
5. BanBBL remove Anubis
6. BanLuminosity remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
Luminosity 44%BBL 56%
The model gave 56% on BBL — the map was taken by Luminosity.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
Luminosity 60%BBL 40%
The model gave 60% on Luminosity — the map was taken by Luminosity.
Model check result
Model favoriteLuminosity · 59%
Series resultLuminosity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2