Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Luminosity#30 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientB8 pick
65%50%
B8 · 13 mapsedge B8 +15%Luminosity · 4 maps
Dust2B8 ban
67%40%
B8 · 11 mapsedge B8 +27%Luminosity · 6 maps
MirageLuminosity pick
47%63%
B8 · 11 mapsedge Luminosity +16%Luminosity · 4 maps
InfernoLuminosity ban
56%33%
B8 · 5 mapsedge B8 +23%Luminosity · 5 maps
NukeB8 ban
67%60%
B8 · 2 mapsedge B8 +7%Luminosity · 6 maps
CacheLuminosity ban
63%40%
B8 · 4 mapsedge B8 +23%Luminosity · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Nuke
2. BanLuminosity remove Cache
3. PickB8 take Ancient
4. PickLuminosity take Mirage
5. BanLuminosity remove Inferno
6. BanB8 remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
B8 69%Luminosity 31%
The model gave 69% on B8 — the map was taken by Luminosity.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
B8 67%Luminosity 33%
The model gave 67% on B8 — the map was taken by Luminosity.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 77%
Series resultLuminosity 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2