Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO5
result vs prediction
Luminosity#30 in the world · loss 2:3series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:3
3DMAX#20 in the world · win 3:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Inferno3DMAX pick
40%47%
Luminosity · 6 mapsedge 3DMAX +7%3DMAX · 13 maps
AncientLuminosity pick
56%53%
Luminosity · 5 mapsnearly even +3%3DMAX · 13 maps
Dust23DMAX pick
40%60%
Luminosity · 6 mapsedge 3DMAX +20%3DMAX · 11 maps
NukeLuminosity pick
60%36%
Luminosity · 6 mapsedge Luminosity +24%3DMAX · 10 maps
CacheLuminosity ban
40%59%
Luminosity · 1 mapedge 3DMAX +19%3DMAX · 13 maps
Mirage3DMAX ban
63%50%
Luminosity · 4 mapsedge Luminosity +13%3DMAX · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%43%
Luminosity · 0 mapsedge Luminosity +7%3DMAX · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLuminosity remove Cache
2. Ban3DMAX remove Mirage
3. PickLuminosity take Nuke
4. Pick3DMAX take Dust2
5. PickLuminosity take Ancient
6. Pick3DMAX take Inferno
DeciderAnubis (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
Luminosity 29%3DMAX 71%
The model gave 71% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Dust2prediction correct16:19
Luminosity 33%3DMAX 67%
The model gave 67% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Ancientprediction missed19:15
Luminosity 50%3DMAX 50%
The model gave 50% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by Luminosity.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
Luminosity 46%3DMAX 54%
The model gave 54% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by Luminosity.
Nukeprediction missed13:16
Luminosity 73%3DMAX 27%
The model gave 73% on Luminosity — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Model check result
Model favorite3DMAX · 59%
Series result3DMAX 2:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 5