StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
K27#44 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
INFINITE#71 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageK27 pick
60%53%
K27 · 11 mapsedge K27 +7%INFINITE · 13 maps
NukeK27 ban
27%46%
K27 · 11 mapsedge INFINITE +19%INFINITE · 9 maps
AncientINFINITE pick
64%58%
K27 · 10 mapsedge K27 +6%INFINITE · 8 maps
Dust2possible decider
60%60%
K27 · 6 mapsnearly even +0%INFINITE · 6 maps
OverpassINFINITE ban
60%40%
K27 · 6 mapsedge K27 +20%INFINITE · 1 map
AnubisINFINITE ban
38%60%
K27 · 4 mapsedge INFINITE +22%INFINITE · 1 map
InfernoK27 ban
50%50%
K27 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%INFINITE · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanK27 remove Inferno
2. BanINFINITE remove Overpass
3. PickK27 take Mirage
4. PickINFINITE take Ancient
5. BanINFINITE remove Anubis
6. BanK27 remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct14:16
K27 27%INFINITE 73%
The model gave 73% on INFINITE — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
K27 60%INFINITE 40%
The model gave 60% on K27 — the map was taken by INFINITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteK27 · 52%
Series resultINFINITE 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2