Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BIG#27 in the world · win 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GenOne#95 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BIG ban
50%73%
BIG · 2 mapsedge GenOne +23%GenOne · 48 maps
Ancientpossible decider
64%51%
BIG · 7 mapsedge BIG +13%GenOne · 31 map
NukeBIG ban
50%57%
BIG · 4 mapsedge GenOne +7%GenOne · 26 maps
InfernoBIG pick
64%50%
BIG · 7 mapsedge BIG +14%GenOne · 16 maps
AnubisGenOne pick
60%68%
BIG · 1 mapedge GenOne +8%GenOne · 15 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
43%40%
BIG · 3 mapsnearly even +3%GenOne · 11 maps
MirageGenOne ban
42%50%
BIG · 8 mapsedge GenOne +8%GenOne · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBIG remove Dust2
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickBIG take Inferno
4. PickGenOne take Anubis
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanBIG remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (64% / 51%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
BIG 25%GenOne 75%
The model gave 75% on GenOne — the map was taken by BIG.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
BIG 66%GenOne 34%
The model gave 66% on BIG — the map was taken by BIG.
Model check result
Model favoriteBIG · 69%
Series resultBIG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2