StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · win 2:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
3DMAX#20 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWalczaki pick
59%33%
Walczaki · 28 mapsedge Walczaki +26%3DMAX · 2 maps
Ancient3DMAX ban
65%38%
Walczaki · 19 mapsedge Walczaki +27%3DMAX · 4 maps
Anubispossible decider
64%38%
Walczaki · 18 mapsedge Walczaki +26%3DMAX · 4 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
43%50%
Walczaki · 17 mapsedge 3DMAX +7%3DMAX · 2 maps
InfernoWalczaki ban
63%40%
Walczaki · 12 mapsedge Walczaki +23%3DMAX · 6 maps
Mirage3DMAX ban
67%50%
Walczaki · 11 mapsedge Walczaki +17%3DMAX · 0 maps
Cache3DMAX pick
40%56%
Walczaki · 1 mapedge 3DMAX +16%3DMAX · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
2. Ban3DMAX remove Mirage
3. PickWalczaki take Nuke
4. Pick3DMAX take Cache
5. Ban3DMAX remove Ancient
6. BanWalczaki remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (64% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
Walczaki 77%3DMAX 23%
The model gave 77% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Cacheprediction correct7:13
Walczaki 32%3DMAX 68%
The model gave 68% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by 3DMAX.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
Walczaki 71%3DMAX 29%
The model gave 71% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favorite3DMAX · 60%
Series resultWalczaki 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3